Deeply-discounted variable rates have historically beat out 5-year fixed rates roughly 77% of the time.But CIBC economist Benjamin Tal suggests the coming five years may “slightly” favour fixed rates. He displayed this chart at the CAAMP Forum on Monday that projects that the typical variable-rate mortgage (VRM) will be more expensive over five years than the typical 5-year fixed. That’s based on forward swap rates and a closing date in January 2011, says Tal.Tal was careful to point out that this isn’t a blanket recommendation of fixed rates; it’s more of a commentary on how narrow the gap has become between fixed and variable mortgages, based on market rate expectations.Some people will undoubtedly look at this and see no point in assuming the risk of a VRM given the minimal projected cost difference.Others will remain skeptical, with the belief that North America’s economy isn’t strong enough to spark sustained 3%+ inflation (and the rapid rate increases that would come with it). Th...